Barcelona are more than capable of overturning a two-goal deficit on Tuesday but they are just not at their best at present and I think they will come up short.
It was a shock at the time that AC Milan were able to secure such a comfortable victory over the Champions League favourites but Barcelona have flattered to deceive for a month or so now and it has all become a little predictable.
Losing 2-0 away from home in a European tie is nothing short of a disaster and if the Italians can nick just one away goal in the Camp Nou then that is predicted to be more than enough to advance.
In addition to the loss at the San Siro, Barca have been beaten twice by Real Madrid in recent matches and overall it is just four wins in their previous nine games in all competitions.
A first clean sheet in 14 fixtures, astonishingly, when beating Deportivo 2-0 on Saturday would have been welcome and surely Barca will need to repeat that defensive effort if they are to have any hope of advancing.
Milan were deserved winners three weeks ago and their upturn in fortunes since the turn of the year means they are finishing the Serie A season strongly.
First leg goals from Kevin-Prince Boateng and Sulley Muntari have Milan dreaming of the last eight and it is now ten matches unbeaten in all competitions.
Extending that run to 11 will, of course, see them safely through and there is enough evidence to suggest they can hold firm for 90 minutes if required.
Milan have conceded just five goals in that period, never more than one in any single clash, and the 2-0 win at Genoa on Friday night was exactly what they needed to tee them up for the trip to Catalonia.
2pts Back AC Milan To Qualify (vs. Barcelona) @ 1.73 (various)